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Multiple Choice Quiz
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1
After five years as the head auto mechanic in a local garage, Pete decides he is tired of working for others, especially since business is typically slow and he works partially on commission. Thus, he decides to open his own garage. After estimating the cash flows for his new garage, he determines that having his own garage should generate a large positive net present value. Which of the following is most likely true about his analysis?
A)The discount rate he used must be too high.
B)Unless he can find a true source of value in his new venture, he probably made a mistake in estimating his cash flows.
C)He has likely been overly optimistic about the future and has underestimated future cash flows.
D)His estimates of initial cash outlays have to be understated.
E)His analysis is probably correct provided there is major competition in the auto repair business.
2
Which one of the following statements regarding net present value (NPV) analysis is correct?
A)The value of NPV analysis depends on the accuracy of the cash flow projections.
B)A manager who uses NPV analysis has nothing to gain by conducting sensitivity analysis.
C)Negative NPV projects should always be rejected without further scrutiny.
D)A manager who uses NPV analysis is apt to also use sensitivity analysis, but not scenario analysis.
E)NPV calculations are fairly reliable even when an inappropriate discount rate is used.
3
Which one of the following generally has the least forecasting risk?
A)sales
B)initial investment
C)fixed costs
D)selling price per unit
E)variable costs
4
DeWright is an inventor and a sole proprietor. He recently developed a new glue for plastic models which he believes is stronger and more environmentally friendly than existing glues. This morning, DeWright completed an NPV analysis on the production and marketing of this glue for the next three years. He believes that three years is the extent of the project life as he is quite confident that he will be able to develop an even better glue within that time period. The NPV he computed is positive but he questions the reliability of his projected sales quantity. Which one of the following would be the best method for DeWright to use to test the impact of the sales quantity on the NPV of the project?
A)sensitivity analysis
B)IRR analysis
C)payback analysis
D)scenario analysis
E)discounted payback analysis
5
The situation that is most likely to exist if a project is accepted is known as the _____ scenario.
A)pessimistic
B)optimistic
C)expected
D)realistic
E)actual
6
The purpose of scenario analysis is best described as the:
A)evaluation of all possible cash flow forecasts.
B)evaluation of all possible contingencies.
C)close analysis of highly negative net present value projects.
D)development of a range of potential outcomes from a particular project.
E)gauge of the profitability of a project once that project has commenced.
7
Which one of the following statements is true concerning scenario analysis?
A)A positive net present value given a project's pessimistic scenario guarantees you a positive return from the project.
B)The optimistic scenario is the most positive outcome that can be achieved.
C)If the net present value of the expected scenario is negative then it is totally unnecessary to analyze the optimistic and the pessimistic scenarios.
D)Scenario analysis is less apt than sensitivity analysis to determine which single variable has the greatest impact on the net present value.
E)Scenario analysis is rarely used in the business world.
8
The process of identifying the variable within a project that has the most forecasting risk is known as:
A)scenario analysis.
B)sensitivity analysis.
C)contingency planning.
D)break-even analysis.
E)discretionary analysis.
9
_____ analysis investigates the impact on net present value of allowing one variable to change while holding all other variables constant.
A)Scenario
B)Break-even
C)Strategic options
D)Simulation
E)Sensitivity
10
A financial manager reviewing a project is concerned about the level of forecasting risk in the project's forecasted cash flows. The manager should use _____ analysis to identify the variable that presents the highest degree of forecasting risk.
A)scenario
B)simulation
C)sensitivity
D)break-even
E)strategic options





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