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How to Design and Evaluate Research in Education Book Cover
How to Design and Evaluate Research in Education, 5/e
Jack R. Fraenkel, San Francisco State University
Norman E. Wallen, San Francisco State University

Inferential Statistics

Main Points

What Are Inferential Statistics?

  • Inferential statistics refer to certain procedures that allow researchers to make inferences about a population based on data obtained from a sample.
  • The term "probability," as used in research, refers to the predicted relative frequency with which a given event will occur.

Sampling Error

  • The term "sampling error" refers to the variations in sample statistics that occur as a result of repeated sampling from the same population.

The Distribution of Sample Means

  • A sampling distribution of means is a frequency distribution resulting from plotting the means of a very large number of samples from the same population.
  • The standard error of the mean is the standard deviation of a sampling distribution of means. The standard error of the difference between means is the standard deviation of a sampling distribution of differences between sample means.

Confidence Intervals

  • A confidence interval is a region extending both above and below a sample statistic (such as a sample mean) within which a population parameter (such as the population mean) may be said to fall with a specified probability of being wrong.

Hypothesis Testing

  • Statistical hypothesis testing is a way of determining the probability that an obtained sample statistic will occur, given a hypothetical population parameter.
  • A research hypothesis specifies the nature of the relationship the researcher thinks exists in the population.
  • The null hypothesis typically specifies that there is no relationship in the population.

Significance Levels

  • The term "significance level" (or "level of significance"), as used in research, refers to the probability of a sample statistic occurring as a result of sampling error.
  • The significance levels most commonly used in educational research are the .05 and .01 levels.
  • Statistical significance and practical significance are not necessarily the same. Just because a result is statistically significant does not mean that it is practically (i.e., educationally) significant.

Tests of Statistical Significance

  • A one-tailed test of significance involves the use of probabilities based on one-half of a sampling distribution because the research hypothesis is a directional hypothesis.
  • A two-tailed test, on the other hand, involves the use of probabilities based on both sides of a sampling distribution because the research hypothesis is a nondirectional hypothesis.

Parametric Tests for Quantitative Data

  • A parametric statistical test requires various kinds of assumptions about the nature of the population from which the samples involved in the research study were taken.
  • Some of the commonly used parametric techniques for analyzing quantitative data include the t-test for means, ANOVA, ANCOVA, MANOVA, and the t-test for r.

Parametric Tests for Categorical Data

  • The most common parametric technique for analyzing categorical data is the t-test for differences in proportions.

Nonparametric Tests for Quantitative Data

  • A nonparametric statistical technique makes few, if any, assumptions about the nature of the population from which the samples in the study were taken.
  • Some of the commonly used nonparametric techniques for analyzing quantitative data are the Mann-Whitney U test, the Kruskal-Wallis one-way analysis of variance, the sign test, and the Friedman two-way analysis variance.

Nonparametric Tests for Categorical Data

  • The chi-square test is the nonparametric technique most commonly used to analyze categorical data.
  • The contingency coefficient is a descriptive statistic indicating the degree of relationship that exists between two categorical variables.

Power of a Statistical Test

  • The power of a statistical test for a particular set of data is the likelihood of identifying a difference between population parameters when it in fact exists.
  • Parametric tests are generally, but not always, more powerful than nonparametric tests.