The main objective of this chapter is for students to demonstrate that they
can identify the manner in which biases and framing adversely impact managers’ forecasts
of project cash flows and their decisions about project adoption and termination.
After completing this chapter students will be able to:
Explain why managers
who avoid discounted cash flow analysis are prone to select low-value
projects over high-value projects.
Explain why overconfidence and excessive
optimism lead managers to adopt negative net-present-value projects.
Explain
why the combination of aversion to a sure loss, regret, and confirmation
bias leads managers to continue failing projects when they should terminate
those projects.
Distinguish between the remedies appropriate to agency
conflicts and the remedies appropriate to behavioral biases.