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Mixed Quiz
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1

States of nature are alternatives available to environmental decision makers.
A)True
B)False
2

EVPI is the expected financial value of the regret for the optimal decision under risk.
A)True
B)False
3

A decision tree branches out to include all of the possible decisions and all of the possible events we are capable of identifying.
A)True
B)False
4

An example of maximax decision making is when people buy lottery tickets hoping for a very big payoff if their number is drawn.
A)True
B)False
5

Decision trees are useful only when the outcomes are known with near certainty (P>95%)
A)True
B)False
6

The outcome of implementing a decision is more important than the process of reaching that decision.
A)True
B)False
7

While all of these steps are important in reaching a good decision, which one of the following steps is often the most crucial in the decision-making process?
A)Identifying the problem.
B)Specifying objectives
C)Developing alternatives
D)Analyzing alternatives
E)Selecting the best alternative
8

Which one of the following won't generally be given as a reason for poor decisions?
A)Unforeseeable circumstances
B)Bounded rationality
C)Suboptimization
D)Mistakes in the decision process
E)All are reasons that are offered for poor decisions
9

Determining the average payoff for each alternative and choosing the alternative with the highest average is the approach called:
A)minimin
B)maximin
C)maximax
D)weighted factor analysis
E)Laplace
10

If the minimum expected regret is computed, it indicates to a decision-maker the:
A)expected value of perfect information
B)expected payoff under certainty
C)minimum guaranteed profitability
D)expected payoff under risk
E)none of the above







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